Question

Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?

Resolved :Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.1

Community Peer Score

0.0

median 99.0%mean 98.1%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Ramadan

Ramadan (calendar month)

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

45%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

77.1%

Comments

? comments