Question

When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2037-07-15 (2031-03-29 - 2045-09-28)

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weight:

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2031-03-29 14:50

2037-07-15 09:41

2045-09-28 03:14

0.6%

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Authors:

uganda

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SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS

Raw Story•Dec 20, 2024

NASA astronauts stuck in space not set to return to Earth until at least late March

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

Nasa astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams forced to extend their stay on the ISS – but what’s it really like to be stranded in space?

Independent•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

2051-09-04

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

Comments

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Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS

Raw Story•Dec 20, 2024

NASA astronauts stuck in space not set to return to Earth until at least late March

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

Nasa astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams forced to extend their stay on the ISS – but what’s it really like to be stranded in space?

Independent•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

2051-09-04

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When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

Make a Prediction

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

Comments

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?