Question

When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2037-07-15 (2031-03-29 - 2045-09-28)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2100-01-01
community	2031	2037	2045	0.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2031	—
median	2037	—
upper 75%	2045	—
Upper bound
>2100-01-01	0.6%	—

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Aug 18, 2021

Closes:

Aug 23, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

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