Question

When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2037-07-15

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2031-03-29 14:50

2037-07-15 09:41

2045-09-28 03:14

0.6%

Authors:

uganda

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Scheduled resolution:

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

2051-04-25

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

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Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

NASA monitoring second stranded astronaut's possible weight loss as Sunita Williams insists she's fine

New York Post•Nov 13, 2024

NASA monitoring SECOND stranded astronaut over health fears - after Sunita Williams' weight loss scare

Daily Mail•Nov 14, 2024

Following Sunita Williams’ health concerns, NASA turns attention to mission partner Butch Wilmore’s losing body mass

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

2051-04-25