Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides dated 20 August?

Resolved :33

7 comments7

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction28.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

22.74

28.08

31.78

What was the final result?33

Community Baseline Score

51.7

Community Peer Score

18.0

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 1

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Question suggestions for VA Lightning Tourney

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 1

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%