Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in May 2018?

Resolved :00.136
2
2
Total Forecasters104
Community Prediction0.136 (0.0561 - 0.506)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.05608
0.1358
0.5059

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score
134.8
Community Peer Score
46.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
IARPA Question Bot
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2018 Leaderboard
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
List of North Korean missile tests
North Korea

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