Question

What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction1.9

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

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0.4%

1.608

1.899

2.191

0.3%

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Climate sensitivity

Transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions

Atmospheric science

Climatology

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

3.91

What will the product of the gross world product with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

18.3

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

20%

Comments

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Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Climate sensitivity

Transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions

Atmospheric science

Climatology

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Humanity has warmed the planet by 1.5°C since 1700

New Scientist•Nov 12, 2024

Emissions Gap Report 2023: Broken Record

•Nov 14, 2024

The evidence is clear: the time for action is now. We can halve emissions by 2030. — IPCC

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

3.91

What will the product of the gross world product with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

18.3

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

20%