Question

Will the Unique Games Conjecture be proved by 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

median 30.0%mean 30.7%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Unique games conjecture

Will the sunflower conjecture be resolved before 2060?

62.1%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

90%

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

12.3%

Comments

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Unique games conjecture

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Will the sunflower conjecture be resolved before 2060?

62.1%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

90%

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

12.3%