Question

Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?

Resolved :No10%

48 comments48

Total Forecasters135

Community Prediction10% (7% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

77.5

Community Peer Score

3.2

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Aug 14, 2021

Closes:

Aug 30, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 19, 2021

United States Diplomatic and Consular Staff in Tehran

Taliban

Afghanistan

Marine Security Guard

United States

Rubio Plans 'Very Big Bounty' on Taliban If Hostage Report Confirmed

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Rubio demands answers with 2 more Americans reportedly held by Taliban

FOX News•Jan 26, 2025

Rubio Gets Tough With Taliban Terrorist Leaders After Learning They May Be Holding More U.S. Hostages

Daily Wire•Jan 26, 2025

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