Question

Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters140

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

community: 25%

median 25.0%mean 27.7%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

10%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10%

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

18%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Mary Bruce Shares Fake News on Behalf of Kamala, and The NY Times Demands Trump Remain in His Basement

Townhall•Oct 1, 2024

TechScape: Why the fake news confidence trap could be your downfall

Guardian•Oct 1, 2024

Not All Hacks Are Created Equal

Truth Dig•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

10%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10%

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

18%

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Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Comments

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?