Question

Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters140

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

median 25.0%mean 27.6%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

NYT has yet to issue correction for wrongly claiming Trump ‘falsely’ accused FEMA of avoiding supporters’ storm-ravaged homes

New York Post•Nov 11, 2024

NYT Hasn’t Updated ‘Lacks Evidence’ Fact-Check of Trump Saying FEMA Was Not Helping People in Republican Areas

Breitbart•Nov 11, 2024

Misinformation fears mount over second Trump term

Raw Story•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

12%