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Question
How many members will the next Bundestag have?
Resolved :
736
786
10
18 comments
18
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
33
Community Prediction
786 (722 - 853)
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1.2k
...
...
...
...
721.7
786.1
852.7
0.7%
What was the final result?
736
Community Baseline Score
43.8
Community Peer Score
3.0
Additional Scores
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here
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Background Info
Authors:
lars3loff
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
AFD
Bundestag
The Greens – The Green Alternative
Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Social Democratic Party of Germany
The Left (Germany)
German federal election
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Authors:
lars3loff
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
AFD
Bundestag
The Greens – The Green Alternative
Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Social Democratic Party of Germany
The Left (Germany)
German federal election
Submit Tags Feedback
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