Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides dated 27 August?

Resolved :32

2 comments2

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction33.2

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

30.05

33.2

34.52

What was the final result?32

Community Baseline Score

49.4

Community Peer Score

21.2

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners Gaia

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Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Question suggestions for VA Lightning Tourney

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%