Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 28 August?

Resolved :1.48k1.57k

2 comments2

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction1.57k (1.37k - 1.78k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5k

...

1.368k

1.573k

1.782k

1.0%

What was the final result?1.48k

Community Baseline Score

57.1

Community Peer Score

8.8

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Authors:

Metaculus-Partners TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

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What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.01