Question
How many UN member states will there be in 2070?
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction198 (194 - 203)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<170 | 4.1% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 194 | — |
median | 198.3 | — |
upper 75% | 203 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>220 | 2.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch