Question

How many of the new LessWrong book sets will be sold on Amazon by March 1st 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

14 comments14

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction2.16k

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

1.334k

2.157k

3.392k

0.6%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:

BenAlbertPace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Amazon (company)

LessWrong

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

34.8k

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?

3.53M

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BenAlbertPace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Amazon (company)

LessWrong

On Our Way Home will get you well on your way to satisfying your Christmas list

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Copies going Spare! Prince Harry's new paperback version of his autobiography sits in 73rd place in book charts after selling just 3,400 in its second week

Daily Mail•Nov 13, 2024

Do you gift people books? These are among the strangest ones you can give

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

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