Question

Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

60.3

Community Peer Score

8.4

median 1.0%mean 3.5%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Nile

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Egypt

Ethiopia

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Nile

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Egypt

Ethiopia

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Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%