Question

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction83% (75% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 83%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India–Pakistan relations

Kargil War

India

Partition of India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

India to play 2025 Champions Trophy on neutral ground, not Pakistan: ICC

Al Jazeera•Dec 19, 2024

At least 30 children die from drug shortages in Pakistan after sectarian violence

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

OpEdNews•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

1.5%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India–Pakistan relations

Kargil War

India

Partition of India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

India to play 2025 Champions Trophy on neutral ground, not Pakistan: ICC

Al Jazeera•Dec 19, 2024

At least 30 children die from drug shortages in Pakistan after sectarian violence

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

OpEdNews•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

1.5%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Comments

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?