Question

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction83%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 83%

median 83.0%mean 81.1%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India–Pakistan relations

Kargil War

India

Partition of India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India–Pakistan relations

Kargil War

India

Partition of India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

India will not travel to Pakistan for ICC Champions Trophy 2025: PCB

Al Jazeera•Nov 11, 2024

Why sectarian tensions continue to simmer in Pakistan’s Kurram district

Al Jazeera•Nov 12, 2024

India, Pakistan blanketed in smog so thick, it's visible from space: See pictures

USA Today•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%