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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

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Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction46.9% (38% - 65%)

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50%

community: 46.9%

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Authors:

Tamay

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General Dynamics Mission Systems

Impact of nanotechnology

Atomically precise manufacturing

Molecular assembler

Lab-made ‘mirror bacteria’ could endanger all life on earth, scientists warn

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

57%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

General Dynamics Mission Systems

Impact of nanotechnology

Atomically precise manufacturing

Molecular assembler

Lab-made ‘mirror bacteria’ could endanger all life on earth, scientists warn

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

57%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?