Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?

Resolved :91.391.4
3
5
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction91.4 (90.3 - 92.9)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<70
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>110
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
90.32
91.44
92.88
0.2%

What was the final result?91.3

Community Baseline Score
82.9
Community Peer Score
2.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Fragile States Index
Lebanon
2006 Lebanon War

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