Question

What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?

Resolved :91.3

5 comments5

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction91.4

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<70

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>110

...

0.1%

90.32

91.44

92.88

0.2%

What was the final result?91.3

Community Baseline Score

82.9

Community Peer Score

2.4

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?

0.1%

Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?

55%

What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)?

Comments

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Lebanese cease-fire efforts inch ahead as Israel keeps up fierce bombardment

NBC•Nov 15, 2024

Middle East crisis live: Paramedics reported killed in Israeli attack on Lebanon as IDF orders evacuation of Beirut suburb

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Fighting in Lebanon intensifies amid calls for cease-fire – DW – 10/24/2024

•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?

0.1%

Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?

55%