Question

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction80% (79% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 20, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2070

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Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

89%

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

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