Question

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

median 80.0%mean 79.5%

Authors:

stanulamstan

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

85%

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

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Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

85%