Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

9
22
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction80% (79% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 80%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Sri Lankan Civil War
The World Factbook
United Nations
Afghanistan
Syria
Iraq
Sub-Saharan Africa
Sri Lanka

Comments

? comments