Question

What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election?

Resolved :1315.6

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction15.6 (11.6 - 21)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	11.61	15.6	20.95
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	11.61	—
median	15.6	—
upper 75%	20.95	—

What was the final result?13

Community Baseline Score

89.4

Community Peer Score

17.0

Authors:

PhilStilwell

Opened:

Oct 13, 2021

Closes:

Nov 3, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Voting bloc

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

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Donald Trump Sees Huge Increase in Gen Z, Millennial Support Since Election

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