🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election?

6
9
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction15.6 (11.6 - 21)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
11.61
15.6
20.95
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilStilwell
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Voting bloc
Republican Party (US)
Donald Trump

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