Question

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters59

Community Prediction89% (84.2% - 91%)

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50%

community: 89%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Demographics of Africa

Ukraine Birth Rates Could Plunge If Zelensky Gives In to Pentagon Demand

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

A new Civil War?

American Thinker•Dec 18, 2024

The Demographic Outlook: 2024 to 2054

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Demographics of Africa

Ukraine Birth Rates Could Plunge If Zelensky Gives In to Pentagon Demand

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

A new Civil War?

American Thinker•Dec 18, 2024

The Demographic Outlook: 2024 to 2054

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

Comments

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World