Question

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

median 85.0%mean 84.9%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Demographics of Africa

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Demographics of Africa

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Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%