Question

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters59

Community Prediction89% (84.2% - 91%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 89%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 20, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2069

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2070

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Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

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