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M

Question

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?

14
4
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction7.56 (1.85 - 228)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30k
...
...
...
...
1.846
7.564
228.3
3.0%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersSylvain
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
China
United Kingdom
India
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Pakistan
France
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
United States
Israel

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