Question

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters135

Community Prediction75%

Make a Prediction

community: 75%

median 75.0%mean 64.1%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

US dollar

Tesla

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

65%

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

US dollar

Tesla

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

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Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

65%

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Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Make a Prediction

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Comments

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?