Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 10 September?

Resolved :26

2 comments2

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction29.9

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

22.82

29.85

33.2

What was the final result?26

Community Baseline Score

5.6

Community Peer Score

31.8

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

COVID Map Update Reveals Shift in 'Very High' Water Virus Levels

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Many more seniors are getting COVID shots this year, CDC reports

CBS•Nov 14, 2024

Almost half of Valencia’s flood victims were aged over 70, figures show

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%