Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 10 September?

Resolved :26

2 comments2

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction29.9

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

22.82

29.85

33.2

What was the final result?26

Community Baseline Score

5.6

Community Peer Score

31.8

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Florida braces for possible worst-case scenario with Hurricane Milton

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%