Question

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Resolved :No1%

9 comments9

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction1% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

91.0

Community Peer Score

3.4

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Sep 14, 2021

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 21, 2025

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Democratic Party (US)

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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53%

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2084-03-14

Comments

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