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Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

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Charles

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Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Democratic Party (US)

Republicans and Democrats face a crisis of confidence

•Dec 17, 2024

The Electoral College votes to confirm results for the 2024 presidential election today. Here's what to know.

CBS•Dec 17, 2024

Electoral College: How it’s changed this year

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?

0.1%

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Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Democratic Party (US)

Republicans and Democrats face a crisis of confidence

•Dec 17, 2024

The Electoral College votes to confirm results for the 2024 presidential election today. Here's what to know.

CBS•Dec 17, 2024

Electoral College: How it’s changed this year

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?

0.1%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Make a Prediction

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?

Comments

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?