🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

Resolved :No3%
9
11
Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction3% (1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
79.9
Community Peer Score
16.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Charles
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
US Electoral College
United States
2024 Elections (US)
Michigan
Joe Biden
Pennsylvania

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