Question

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction3%

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50%

community: 3%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

median 3.0%mean 5.6%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

45%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

15%

Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 Presidential Election?

19%

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? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

How blue states could lose decisive number of electoral votes to red states in next Census

AlterNet•Nov 15, 2024

Black Voters in the 2024 Election

•Nov 20, 2024

2024 marks a 21st century rarity: Almost everyone thinks the election results are legitimate

CNN•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

45%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

15%

Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 Presidential Election?

19%