🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Resolved :No1%
4
8
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction1% (1% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
67.7
Community Peer Score
10.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Charles
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
US Electoral College
US Congress
United States
Arizona
Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Pennsylvania

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