Question

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

community: 20%

median 20.0%mean 22.1%

Authors:

Charles

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Scheduled resolution:

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Democrats aim to show a judge how pro-Trump Georgia election board could spark certification ‘chaos’

CNN•Oct 1, 2024

How the 2020 Census Map Impacts the 2024 Electoral College

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Georgia’s Election-Law Problems Aren’t Legal Ones

Atlantic•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

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In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Make a Prediction

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Comments

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?