Question

When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction2030-01-21 (2027-05-19 - 2034-09-11)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2100-01-01
community	2027	2030	2034	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2027	—
median	2030	—
upper 75%	2034	—
Upper bound
>2100-01-01	0.2%	—

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Aug 27, 2021

Closes:

Jan 2, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

AI Demonstrations

Artificial Intelligence

Uber teams up with Waymo to start selling driverless rides in Austin, Texas

Associated Press•Mar 4, 2025

Driverless Uber rides now challenging Elon Musk’s Tesla in its backyard

CNN•Mar 4, 2025

Uber users in Austin are getting matched with Waymo robotaxis

TechCrunch•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Comments

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Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Aug 27, 2021

Closes:

Jan 2, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

AI Demonstrations

Artificial Intelligence

Uber teams up with Waymo to start selling driverless rides in Austin, Texas

Associated Press•Mar 4, 2025

Driverless Uber rides now challenging Elon Musk’s Tesla in its backyard

CNN•Mar 4, 2025

Uber users in Austin are getting matched with Waymo robotaxis

TechCrunch•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-07-03