Question

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

Resolved :Yes45%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction45% (40% - 50.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

21.4

Community Peer Score

1.3

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Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US House of Representatives

2020 United States Census

Democratic Party (US)

Elections in the United States

2024 Elections (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

How Gerrymandering and Fair Maps Affected the Battle for the House

•Dec 17, 2024

Republican House Majority in Peril

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Trump Cabinet appointments putting Mike Johnson’s 'wafer-thin' House majority 'in peril'

AlterNet•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US House of Representatives

2020 United States Census

Democratic Party (US)

Elections in the United States

2024 Elections (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

How Gerrymandering and Fair Maps Affected the Battle for the House

•Dec 17, 2024

Republican House Majority in Peril

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Trump Cabinet appointments putting Mike Johnson’s 'wafer-thin' House majority 'in peril'

AlterNet•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Comments

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?