Question

Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections?

71 comments71

Total Forecasters240

Community Prediction79% (72% - 86%)

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50%

community: 79%

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Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2024 Elections (US)

107th United States Congress

Republican Party (US)

2024 United States Senate elections

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

House GOP campaign chair makes prediction for 2026 midterms: 'Going to be on offense'

FOX News•Dec 19, 2024

Tim Scott's Senate campaign arm staff revealed ahead of crucial 2026 swing state races

FOX News•Dec 19, 2024

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2024 Elections (US)

107th United States Congress

Republican Party (US)

2024 United States Senate elections

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

House GOP campaign chair makes prediction for 2026 midterms: 'Going to be on offense'

FOX News•Dec 19, 2024

Tim Scott's Senate campaign arm staff revealed ahead of crucial 2026 swing state races

FOX News•Dec 19, 2024

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%