Question

Will a US Census in 2070 or earlier show a decline in population?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction45% (36% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Feb 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2072

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2072

How Trump’s immigration crackdown could backfire

CNN•Mar 3, 2025

Map Shows US States Where Christianity Is Surging, Falling

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

Millennial Home Values Will Get Crushed by American Population Decline

Business Insider•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US population be in these years?

341

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the largest single-year population decline between 2021 to 2120?

2.02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Feb 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2072

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2072

How Trump’s immigration crackdown could backfire

CNN•Mar 3, 2025

Map Shows US States Where Christianity Is Surging, Falling

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

Millennial Home Values Will Get Crushed by American Population Decline

Business Insider•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US population be in these years?

341

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the largest single-year population decline between 2021 to 2120?

2.02