MetaculusM

Question

Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

6

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction80% (76% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

‘Please don’t do this’: Afghan families in Pakistan caught in crackdown

Al Jazeera•Feb 16, 2025

Opinion | It’s Time for the U.S. to Reach Out to the Taliban

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

‘Please don’t do this’: Afghan families in Pakistan caught in crackdown

Al Jazeera•Feb 16, 2025

Opinion | It’s Time for the U.S. to Reach Out to the Taliban

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch