Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 17 September?

Resolved :12

3 comments3

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction27.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

21.11

27.12

31.1

What was the final result?12

Community Baseline Score

-47.7

Community Peer Score

38.8

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 4

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 4

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

COVID Map Update: US States With 'Very High' Wastewater Viral Activity

Newsweek•Oct 14, 2024

NC Officials Confirm 94 Storm-Related Deaths After Hurricane Helene

Breitbart•Oct 14, 2024

Democrats Might Want to 'Assume Crash Positions' Right About Now Based on Numbers Out of Virginia

Red State•Oct 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%