Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 17 September?

Resolved :12

3 comments3

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction27.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

21.11

27.12

31.1

What was the final result?12

Community Baseline Score

-47.7

Community Peer Score

38.8

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 4

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 4

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Local health departments in the United States

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%