Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will Afghanistan allow same-sex marriage?

9
15
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction2093-06-10 (2065-08-15 - 2100-12-30)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-12-30
...
...
...
...
2065-08-15 19:05
2093-06-10 07:24
>2100-12-30 00:00
41.9%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Grigfall
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Kabul
Same-sex marriage
Taliban
Afghanistan
Iraq
United States
LGBT rights by country or territory
Constitution of Afghanistan
Sharia

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