Question

Will the United States boycott the 2022 Beijing Olympics?

Resolved :No6%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction6% (4% - 12%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.5

Community Peer Score

4.3

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Authors:

crule

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

2021 Leaderboard

US Department of State

2022 Winter Olympics

United States Olympic & Paralympic Committee

People's Liberation Army

Beijing Olympics

United States

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Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

crule

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

2021 Leaderboard

US Department of State

2022 Winter Olympics

United States Olympic & Paralympic Committee

People's Liberation Army

Beijing Olympics

United States

Can Trump Resolve the North Korea Conundrum?

American Conservative•Dec 17, 2024

IOC Sports Director Kit McConnell talks new Olympic events, evolving sports program

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Here’s how Donald Trump might ban trans athletes from competing in sports

PBS NewsHour•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the United States boycott the 2022 Beijing Olympics?

Make a Prediction

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Comments

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?