M

Question

By 2023, how fast will the Effective Altruism Wiki have grown relative to the LessWrong Wiki?

Resolved :2.941.5
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction1.5 (1.07 - 2.14)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.250.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%1.067
median1.501
upper 75%2.137
Upper bound
>46.2%

What was the final result?2.94

Community Baseline Score
-10.6
Community Peer Score
5.6
Authors:
Opened:Sep 5, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023

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