Question

By 2023, what will be the quality of the best articles published on the Effective Altruism Wiki?

Resolved :4.224.08

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction4.08 (3.68 - 4.43)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	3.68	4.085	4.434
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	3.68	—
median	4.085	—
upper 75%	4.434	—

What was the final result?4.22

Community Baseline Score

58.6

Community Peer Score

-0.8

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Sep 8, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

An infinite Wikipedia scroll I created in mere hours went viral. I think people may be tired of curated algorithms.

Business Insider•Feb 13, 2025

Inside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

December Monthly Content Review Memo

NPR Online News•Feb 16, 2025

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