Question

How many billions of dollars will wildfires in the US in 2021 cost?

Resolved :10.6

5 comments5

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction19.2

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

14.72

19.22

23.9

What was the final result?10.6

Community Baseline Score

-3.0

Community Peer Score

9.7

Authors:

kalos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Wildfire

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

United States

Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

50%

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

61%

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

kalos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Wildfire

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

United States

U.S. military aid for Israel tops $17.9 billion since last Oct. 7

PBS NewsHour•Oct 8, 2024

Support for Israel Has Cost US Taxpayers At Least $22.76 Billion in One Year

AntiWar•Oct 8, 2024

Spending in presidential and congressional races projected to hit nearly $16 billion and smash records, new analysis shows

CNN•Oct 8, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

50%

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

61%

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31%