Question

How many billions of dollars will wildfires in the US in 2021 cost?

Resolved :10.6

5 comments5

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction19.2

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

14.72

19.22

23.9

What was the final result?10.6

Community Baseline Score

-3.0

Community Peer Score

9.7

Authors:

kalos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Wildfire

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

United States

Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

50%

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

59%

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

kalos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Wildfire

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

United States

A shadow ‘financial crisis’ has cost the world $2 trillion

CNN•Nov 11, 2024

'We suffered great damage': Fierce California wildfire burns homes, businesses

USA Today•Nov 12, 2024

Map Shows Active and Growing Wildfires in US

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

50%

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

59%

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%