Question
Question
Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?
Resolved :YesTotal Forecasters286
Community Prediction99%
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
-0.3
Community Peer Score
0.5
median 99.0%mean 94.6%
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
? commentsAuthors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch