Question
When will there cease to be Maronite President of Lebanon, a Sunni Prime Minister of Lebanon, or a Shia Speaker of Parliament of Lebanon?
Resolved :Nov 28, 20222030-10-19Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction2030-10-19 (2027-03-21 - 2037-01-10)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2049-12-31
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...
...
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2027-03-21 18:45
2030-10-19 04:02
2037-01-10 18:25
7.4%
What was the final result?Nov 28, 2022
Community Baseline Score
-1.6
Community Peer Score
-0.6
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030