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M

Question

When will there cease to be Maronite President of Lebanon, a Sunni Prime Minister of Lebanon, or a Shia Speaker of Parliament of Lebanon?

Resolved :Nov 28, 20222030-10-19
2
8
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction2030-10-19 (2027-03-21 - 2037-01-10)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2049-12-31
...
...
...
...
2027-03-21 18:45
2030-10-19 04:02
2037-01-10 18:25
7.4%

What was the final result?Nov 28, 2022

Community Baseline Score
-1.6
Community Peer Score
-0.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
Lebanese Civil War
National Pact
Sunni Islam
Taif Agreement
2006 Lebanon War

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