Question

What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?

Resolved :1112.9

8 comments8

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction12.9 (11.6 - 14.7)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

11.56

12.93

14.67

What was the final result?11

Community Baseline Score

70.4

Community Peer Score

13.3

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Authors:

H559

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Mexico

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

Council on Foreign Relations

Kurdish–Turkish conflict (1978–present)

REVEALED: How many Americans think the world is edging toward WWIII

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Syria: Will the United States Try to Stop Israeli Militarism in the Middle East?

CounterPunch•Dec 17, 2024

Tensions between Israel and Turkey escalate over Syria: 'It’s time to pay attention'

FOX News•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?

0.9%

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

2029-02-01

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