Question

What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?

Resolved :11

8 comments8

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction12.9

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

11.56

12.93

14.67

What was the final result?11

Community Baseline Score

70.4

Community Peer Score

13.3

Authors:

H559

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

Council on Foreign Relations

Kurdish–Turkish conflict (1978–present)

Boko Haram insurgency

Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

2029-02-06

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