Question

Will there be a European Army before 2032?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction35% (25% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Sep 29, 2021

Closes:

Jan 2, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2032

Verity

Geopolitics

Common Security and Defence Policy

Member state of the European Union

$840 Billion Plan To 'Rearm Europe' Announced

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

EU chief proposes plan to 'urgently' increase defense spending by mobilizing around $840 billion

CNBC•Mar 4, 2025

Europe is beefing up its military power. The EU called it 'an era of rearmament.'

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

48%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Sep 29, 2021

Closes:

Jan 2, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2032

Verity

Geopolitics

Common Security and Defence Policy

Member state of the European Union

$840 Billion Plan To 'Rearm Europe' Announced

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

EU chief proposes plan to 'urgently' increase defense spending by mobilizing around $840 billion

CNBC•Mar 4, 2025

Europe is beefing up its military power. The EU called it 'an era of rearmament.'

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

48%