Question

Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters128

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

55.9

Community Peer Score

16.8

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Sep 16, 2021

Closes:

Jan 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 31, 2023

Future Perfect 2022 Series

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US Consumer Price Index

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Consumer prices rise 0.5% in January, higher than expected as annual rate rises to 3%

CNBC•Feb 12, 2025

CPI Report: Inflation Rose Unexpectedly in January

New York Times•Feb 12, 2025

Inflation Surges: Consumer Prices Up 3% In January, Crushing Chances of Rate Cuts

Breitbart•Feb 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

4.18

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.09

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Sep 16, 2021

Closes:

Jan 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 31, 2023

Future Perfect 2022 Series

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US Consumer Price Index

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Consumer prices rise 0.5% in January, higher than expected as annual rate rises to 3%

CNBC•Feb 12, 2025

CPI Report: Inflation Rose Unexpectedly in January

New York Times•Feb 12, 2025

Inflation Surges: Consumer Prices Up 3% In January, Crushing Chances of Rate Cuts

Breitbart•Feb 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

4.18

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.09

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%