Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many House and Senate Republicans will announce retirement prior to the midterms?

Resolved :4648
4
9
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction48 (42.7 - 52.6)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
42.72
47.97
52.56

What was the final result?46

Community Baseline Score
64.1
Community Peer Score
10.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2018 Leaderboard
2018 United States elections
House Republican Conference
Ryan Costello
Pat Meehan
Bob Corker
Senate Republican Conference
Paul Ryan
Jeff Flake
Republican Party (US)

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